Economists predict that recession could last upto 2010 with unemployment growing to 10%. The early signs of crisis ending and that consumer and business confidence coming back is the slowing of the downturn.
February job losses have significantly reduced with respect to the predicted score. Thanks to the stimulus package and slight increase in consumption. The sign seems to be positive but cannot be made sure that it will sustain.
S&P 500 to trade flat for 3 months will show that investors are more at ease with economy. While with the spikes , a rally probably wont be sustained.
Car manufacturers experiencing a 45% monthly drop compared to last year. It may take a year or two to settle those figures to 10-20%. But instead if it reaches 25-30% drop it will be a tiptoe by investors back in market.
The government investment in banks should drop to a considerable level of say a rate $100 billion a month and also reduction in the big bailouts.
Pasta is a cheap meal and its revenue surged 43% now the decline in its revenue will surely be a positive indication.
1. http://www.time.com/time/business/article/0,8599,1882737,00.html
3.http://www.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,1876737_1876735_1876702,00.html
